Match Info

NCAA

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Lafayette Leopards		Ball State Cardinals

	1	2
	2.2	1.71
	2.18	1.64
	2.25	1.65
	2.06	1.66	Watch
	2.07	1.69
	2.25	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.94)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lafayette Leopards
43.5%

Ball State Cardinals
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lafayette Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lafayette Leopards's form might have worsened.

Ball State Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ball State Cardinals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lafayette Leopards than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lafayette Leopards, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ball State Cardinals than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ball State Cardinals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lafayette Leopards - Ball State Cardinals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:71

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Preview

Lafayette has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ball State is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ball State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lafayette Leopards basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.11.25	Lafayette Leopards - Le Moyne Dolphins	63:76 ✺
21.11.25	Stonehill Skyhawks - Lafayette Leopards	74:70 ✺
17.11.25	West Virginia Mountaineers - Lafayette Leopards	81:59 ✺
13.11.25	Lafayette Leopards - Cornell Big Red	78:97 ✺
08.11.25	Texas Longhorns - Lafayette Leopards	97:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ball State Cardinals basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.11.25	Monmouth Hawks - Ball State Cardinals	80:73 ✺
22.11.25	Indiana State Sycamores - Ball State Cardinals	70:52 ✺
15.11.25	Ball State Cardinals - Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans	62:68 ✺
11.11.25	Wisconsin Badgers - Ball State Cardinals	86:55 ✺
03.11.25	Ball State Cardinals - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	75:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

Lafayette Leopards - Ball State Cardinals: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide