Match Info

GREECE: Basket League - Round 21

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sports Center Lavrio (Lavrio) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Konstantinidou E. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Greece	20:15	ERT 3


	Lavrio		AEK Athens

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.5	1.54	Watch
	2.49	1.53
	2.49	1.53	Watch
	2.53	1.55
	2.43	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.22)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavrio
38.7%

AEK Athens
61.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavrio than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lavrio - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lavrio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). AEK will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Mouratos V. (C)	21. Netzipoglou O.
34. Slater B.	0. Gray R.
22. Wahab Q.	33. Golden G.
3. Thornton M.	8. Bryce C.
12. Sherman T.	3. Hubb P.
Substitutes
2. Griffin S.	7. Flionis D. (C)
4. Koniaris A.	77. Hale H.
14. Patrikis A.	11. Ioannou V.
0. Tsamis P.	4. Karampelas Z.
20. Vaughn R.	24. Kouzeloglou I.
55. Vazoukis I.	19. Kuzminskas M.
13. Zaras T.	1. Skordilis G.
Coaches
. Mexas K.	. Sakota D.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lavrio won 2.

Recent matches Lavrio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AEK is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AEK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

AEK will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lavrio won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1500:1659 (average 75:83).

Including matches at home between the teams Lavrio won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 776:829 (average 77.6:82.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lavrio BC
Greek Basket League A1
10.03.25	Aris - Lavrio	82:65 ✺
03.03.25	Lavrio - Karditsas	82:89 ✺
09.02.25	Lavrio - Maroussi Athens	94:92 ✺
01.02.25	PAOK - Lavrio	69:74 ✺
27.01.25	Panionios - Lavrio	86:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL
- AEK Athens BC
Champions League Basketball
11.03.25	AEK Athens - s.Oliver Wurzburg	84:77 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
08.03.25	AEK Athens - Peristeri BC	96:67 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.03.25	s.Oliver Wurzburg - AEK Athens	71:77 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
01.03.25	Panionios - AEK Athens	75:80 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
13.02.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	84:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
21.12.24	AEK Athens - Lavrio	97:86
14.04.24	AEK Athens - Lavrio	100:67
30.12.23	Lavrio - AEK Athens	75:90
07.10.23	AEK Athens - Lavrio	93:98
11.02.23	AEK Athens - Lavrio	81:95
05.11.22	Lavrio - AEK Athens	67:84
10.04.22	AEK Athens - Lavrio	90:75

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