Match Info

LNB - Round 10

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Le Chaudron (Le Portel)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	Le Portel		Nancy

	1	2
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.46
	2.7	1.48
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2.6	1.47
	2.58	1.53
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.4)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Portel
35.7%

Nancy
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Portel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Portel than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Le Portel - Nancy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:87

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Lineups


13. Armand S.	6. Amini M.
22. Boyer M.	50. Cozart I.
0. Crawford T.	3. Dada Fodzo M. O.
7. Deido F.	4. Fleming Jr. P.
2. Ebunangombe C.	13. Gombauld S.
23. Fevrier I.	10. Goudou-Sinha E.
1. Fischer L.	72. Marsillon-Noleo K.
5. Konate L.	17. McDuffie M.
44. Kruslin F.	99. Nfomoum-Lomby A.
11. Lee G.	14. N'Kouka K.
93. Mpete K.	1. Nolley II L.

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Elite 2 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Portel won 1.

Le Portel is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nancy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Le Portel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nancy could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Le Portel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 664:640. (average 83:80).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Portel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 342:326. (average 85.5:81.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ESSM Le Portel
French LNB
15.11.25	Le Portel - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	78:87 ✺
French Cup Basketball
11.11.25	Le Portel - Nanterre	60:121 ✺
French LNB
08.11.25	Nanterre - Le Portel	81:74 ✺
01.11.25	Le Portel - Gravelines	87:92 ✺
28.10.25	Limoges - Le Portel	74:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLLLW
- SLUC Nancy Basket
French LNB
22.11.25	Nancy - Le Mans	76:78 ✺
15.11.25	Saint-Quentin - Nancy	72:84 ✺
07.11.25	Nancy - Cholet Basket	91:87 ✺
01.11.25	Strasbourg - Nancy	86:82 ✺
25.10.25	Gravelines - Nancy	107:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
19.04.25	Nancy - Le Portel	85:78
27.12.24	Le Portel - Nancy	76:85
10.02.24	Nancy - Le Portel	76:91
17.12.23	Le Portel - Nancy	88:93
11.02.23	Nancy - Le Portel	79:73
18.11.22	Le Portel - Nancy	80:84
10.02.17	Le Portel - Nancy	98:64

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