Match Info

LNB - Round 8

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Le Chaudron (Le Portel)


	Le Portel		Élan Sportif Chalonnais

	1	2
	3.5	1.32	Watch
	3.4	1.32
	3.59	1.3
	2.94	1.34	Watch
	3.52	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.94)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Portel
28%

Élan Sportif Chalonnais
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Portel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Élan Sportif Chalonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Portel than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Portel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Élan Sportif Chalonnais than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Élan Sportif Chalonnais, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Le Portel - Élan Sportif Chalonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Le Portel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Elan Chalon will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Portel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +9.5, OT - Le Portel (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Portel (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Konate L. (C)	40. Cuthbertson Z.
23. Fevrier I.	25. Mutts J.
0. Crawford T.	13. Gaudoux L. (C)
44. Kruslin F.	6. Choupas Y.
2. Ebunangombe C.	8. Hill J.
Substitutes
22. Boyer M.	2. Anochili-Killen O.
7. Deido F.	7. Kante J.
1. Fischer L.	1. Nadolny C.
11. Lee G.	0. Naji A.
93. Mpete K.	22. Tonnellier Y.
3. Wertz T.	5. Tucker J.
Coaches
. Kenny G.	. Delord E.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Elite 2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Portel won 2.

Le Portel is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elan Chalon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Le Portel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Elan Chalon is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Le Portel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 1216:1383. (average 76:86.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Portel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 571:586. (average 81.6:83.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ESSM Le Portel
French Cup Basketball
11.11.25	Le Portel - Nanterre	60:121 ✺
French LNB
08.11.25	Nanterre - Le Portel	81:74 ✺
01.11.25	Le Portel - Gravelines	87:92 ✺
28.10.25	Limoges - Le Portel	74:79 ✺
25.10.25	Le Mans - Le Portel	107:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLLWL
- Élan Sportif Chalonnais
Champions League Basketball
12.11.25	Sabah - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	87:89 ✺
French LNB
08.11.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Dijon	90:74 ✺
01.11.25	ASVEL Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	85:86 ✺
Champions League Basketball
29.10.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Sabah	84:71 ✺
French LNB
26.10.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Paris	67:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
22.03.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Le Portel	106:76
05.10.24	Le Portel - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	87:81
02.03.24	Le Portel - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	83:83
04.10.23	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Le Portel	94:65
27.03.21	Le Portel - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	84:83
21.03.21	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Le Portel	89:75
14.12.19	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Le Portel	95:84

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