Match Info

LNB - Round 5

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Le Colisee (Chalon-sur-Saône)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	L'Equipe


	Élan Sportif Chalonnais		Paris

	1	2
	3.25	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.32
	2.67	1.41	Watch
	3.41	1.34
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.78)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Élan Sportif Chalonnais
31.1%

Paris
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Élan Sportif Chalonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Élan Sportif Chalonnais than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Élan Sportif Chalonnais, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	0%	19.2%

Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Paris Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Elan Chalon will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Paris will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elan Chalon: 65.7% – 95.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +10.5, OT - Elan Chalon (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 88.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Élan Sportif Chalonnais will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Elan Chalon (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Paris (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:96

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Cuthbertson Z.	11. Ayayi J.
13. Gaudoux L. (C)	13. Dokossi A.
8. Hill J.	2. Hifi N.
25. Mutts J.	20. Morgan J.
1. Nadolny C.	35. Willis D.
Substitutes
2. Anochili-Killen O.	21. Bako I.
6. Choupas Y.	4. Cavaliere L.
7. Kante J.	7. Herrera S. (C)
14. Mendy S.	34. Hommes D.
0. Naji A.	5. Robinson J.
10. Riethauser K.	18. Shahrvin E.
22. Tonnellier Y.
Coaches
. Delord E.	. Tabellini F.

Preview

Elan Chalon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paris's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elan Chalon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Elan Chalon has had a series of away games.

Recently, Paris has had a series of home games.

Paris could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Elan Chalon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 327:371. (average 81.8:92.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elan Chalon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 160:186. (average 80:93).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Élan Sportif Chalonnais
French LNB
18.10.25	Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	98:79 ✺
Champions League Basketball
14.10.25	Nymburk - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	95:97 OT ✺
French LNB
11.10.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Saint-Quentin	84:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.10.25	ALBA Berlin - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	76:81 ✺
French LNB
05.10.25	AS Monaco Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	99:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWWWW
- Paris Basketball
Euroleague
24.10.25	Partizan Belgrade - Paris	83:101 ✺
French LNB
19.10.25	Paris - Dijon	97:92 ✺
Euroleague
17.10.25	Paris - Hapoel Tel Aviv	88:89 ✺
15.10.25	Paris - Baskonia	105:87 ✺
French LNB
12.10.25	Paris - AS Monaco Basket	94:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
20.04.25	Paris - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	100:97
28.09.24	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Paris	87:102
30.04.24	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Paris	73:84
28.10.23	Paris - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	85:70

Upcoming Matches