Match Info

Basket Liga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Bemowo (Warsaw)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Legia Warsaw		Dziki Warszawa

	1	2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.32	2.95	Watch
	1.33	3.4
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.3	3.25
	1.37	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
70.2%

Dziki Warszawa
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Dziki Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dziki Warszawa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Wilczek M.	4. Soares R.
42. Ponsar C.	0. Vander B.
40. Hunter S.	25. Oguama O.
3. Pluta A.	1. Horton L.
0. Graves J.	2. Edge D.
Substitutes
7. Brewton D.	5. Aleksandrowicz M.
1. Czapla B.	16. Chavez T.
12. Jasiewicz W.	45. Frackiewicz L.
23. Kolenda M. (C)	7. Grochowski G. (C)
15. Silins O.	11. Kaminski G.
13. Tass M.	8. Kempa K.
5. Tomaszewski W.	12. Sosna J.
Coaches
. Rannula H.	. Legovich M.

Preview

SK Legia Warszawa leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4.

Legia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Dziki Warszawa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Legia is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Legia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 639:615. (average 79.9:76.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 386:361. (average 77.2:72.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Legia	2	1	1	166:180	3
5	Dziki Warszawa	1	1	0	102:63	2

Last Results with these Odds

Legia Warsaw - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 71.4%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
27.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	98:80 ✺
21.05.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Legia Warsaw	86:98 ✺
19.05.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Legia Warsaw	92:91 ✺
16.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dąbrowa Górnicza	89:84 ✺
14.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dąbrowa Górnicza	100:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Dziki Warszawa
Polish Basket Liga
27.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	98:80 ✺
21.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	88:73 ✺
19.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	85:78 ✺
16.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	81:78 ✺
14.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	92:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
27.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	98:80
28.03.26	Dziki Warszawa - Legia Warsaw	88:95
23.11.25	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	79:84
01.03.25	Dziki Warszawa - Legia Warsaw	70:72
27.10.24	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	73:66
13.01.24	Dziki Warszawa - Legia Warsaw	96:86
11.10.23	Legia Warsaw - Dziki Warszawa	61:62

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