Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 5

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Bemowo (Warsaw)

Referee: Trybalski T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Legia Warsaw		Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski

	1	2
	1.1	6.5	Watch
	1.08	5.9
	1.06	7.27
	1.08	5.78	Watch
	1.1	6.3
	1.05	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↑ (1.05)	6.66 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
86.1%

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.6%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Graves J.	33. Gibson T.
23. Kolenda M. (C)	9. Golebiowski D. (C)
3. Pluta A.	22. Laster D.
15. Silins O.	5. Mejeris M.
13. Tass M.	2. Sakota L.
Substitutes
1. Czapla B.	10. Brzovic A.
40. Hunter S.	8. Czoska N.
42. Ponsar C.	13. Jackson Q.
11. Shungu B.	55. Pluta M.
5. Tomaszewski W.	23. Rutecki J.
32. Wilczek M.	11. Smektala A.
Coaches
. Rannula H.	. Urban A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.

Legia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stal Ostrów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Legia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Legia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1610:1691. (average 80.5:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 883:948. (average 80.3:86.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw Basketball
Champions League Basketball
22.10.25	Heidelberg - Legia Warsaw	67:74 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
19.10.25	Legia Warsaw - Czarni Słupsk	87:76 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.10.25	Legia Warsaw - Promitheas Patras	64:68 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
12.10.25	Toruń - Legia Warsaw	67:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.10.25	Rytas - Legia Warsaw	93:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL
- Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
Polish Basket Liga
20.10.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	97:72 ✺
10.10.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Dąbrowa Górnicza	77:91 ✺
05.10.25	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	90:83 ✺
07.05.25	Zielona Góra - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	92:87 ✺
04.05.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Start Lublin	82:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
23.03.25	Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	80:79
16.11.24	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legia Warsaw	75:90
Polish Cup Basketball
18.02.24	Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	94:71
Polish Basket Liga
04.02.24	Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	88:96
21.10.23	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legia Warsaw	71:53
06.06.23	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legia Warsaw	85:88
03.06.23	Legia Warsaw - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	73:85

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