Match Info

Date: 10 November 2021, Wednesday


	Leiden		Mornar Bar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.97	1.78
	2.13	1.67
	2.12	1.74
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.24	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.7)	1.71 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiden
45%

Mornar Bar
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiden's form might have worsened.

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mornar Bar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mornar Bar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leiden - Mornar Bar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:83

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Mornar Bar have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiden won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 74-87.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
06.11.21	BAL Weert - Leiden	59:85 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
03.11.21	Iraklis - Leiden	83:92 ✺
BNXT League
30.10.21	Leiden - Apollo Amsterdam	101:63 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
27.10.21	Leiden - Bahcesehir Koleji	69:79 ✺
20.10.21	Mornar Bar - Leiden	87:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLL
- KK Mornar Bar
Adriatic League
06.11.21	Mornar Bar - Igokea	82:76 OT (72:72) ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
03.11.21	Mornar Bar - Bahcesehir Koleji	86:95 ✺
Adriatic League
31.10.21	KK Budućnost - Mornar Bar	85:69 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
27.10.21	Mornar Bar - Iraklis	88:65 ✺
Adriatic League
24.10.21	Mornar Bar - Crvena Zvezda	69:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
20.10.21	Mornar Bar - Leiden	87:74

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