Match Info

BNXT League - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportcomplex 1574 (Leiden)


	Leiden		Okapi Aalstar

	1	2
	2.75	1.36
	2.47	1.49
	2.51	1.45	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.99	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.56)	1.4 (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiden
33.8%

Okapi Aalstar
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Okapi Aalstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Okapi Aalstar than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Okapi Aalstar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leiden - Okapi Aalstar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Kruithof L.	0. Colbert E.
0. Mc Collum J.	10. Ledegen S.
28. Roberts N.	3. Maras I. (C)
5. Scott-Grayson T.	6. Temmerman G.
12. Sicking J.	9. Van den Eynde N.
Substitutes
14. Bergsma B.	12. Eruka J.
13. Huurman S.	18. Kreps M.
2. Maconda D.	21. Maddox D.
10. Schaftenaar R. (C)	11. Massey O.
9. van den Elzen S.	15. Palinckx M.
11. Van Zeil L.	4. Unal J.
3. Wessel V.	7. Van Heule A.
Coaches
. Spradley R. D.	. Foucart O.

Preview

Leiden has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Okapi Aalstar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Okapi Aalstar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 306:340. (average 76.5:85).

Including home match between the teams, Leiden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 79:67.

Outrights of BNXT League for now

Okapi Aalst: 4.7% Leiden: 2.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Okapi Aalst	1	1	0	95:87	1.000
7	Leiden	1	1	0	76:71	1.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
20.04.26	Antwerp Giants - Leiden	97:78 ✺
17.04.26	Leiden - Antwerp Giants	92:96 ✺
11.04.26	Leiden - Kortrijk Spurs	69:93 ✺
04.04.26	Donar Groningen - Leiden	75:65 ✺
01.04.26	Leiden - Spirou Charleroi	87:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Okapi Aalstar
BNXT League
19.04.26	Okapi Aalstar - Belfius Mons-Hainaut	98:78 ✺
17.04.26	Belfius Mons-Hainaut - Okapi Aalstar	77:104 ✺
11.04.26	Okapi Aalstar - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	107:103 ✺
04.04.26	Kangoeroes Mechelen - Okapi Aalstar	94:74 ✺
28.03.26	Okapi Aalstar - Donar Groningen	111:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
01.11.25	Okapi Aalstar - Leiden	108:83
07.02.25	Okapi Aalstar - Leiden	80:71
12.10.24	Leiden - Okapi Aalstar	79:67
Club Friendly Basketball
17.09.22	Okapi Aalstar - Leiden	85:73

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