Match Info

BNXT League - Round 26

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sportcomplex 1574 (Leiden)


	Leiden		Spirou Charleroi

	1	2
	1.48	2.35	Watch
	1.34	2.96
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	2.57 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiden
63.9%

Spirou Charleroi
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Spirou Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spirou Charleroi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Leiden - Spirou Charleroi Predictions

Users Predictions: Leiden will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Kruithof L.	31. Boakye E.
2. Maconda D.	4. Gary J.
28. Roberts N.	2. Jackson Z.
5. Scott-Grayson T.	11. Nottage E. (C)
12. Sicking J.	3. Styles D.
Substitutes
14. Bergsma B.	12. Bilolo Katuala M.
0. Mc Collum J.	15. Mbessang I.
10. Schaftenaar R. (C)	5. Polet A.
9. van den Elzen S.	22. Smout Q.
11. Van Zeil L.	13. Zecevic L.
3. Wessel V.
Coaches
. Spradley R. D.	. Rotsaert S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 3.

Leiden is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spirou has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 681:621. (average 75.7:69).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiden won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 277:242. (average 69.3:60.5).

Outrights of BNXT League for now

Spirou Charleroi: 2.28% Leiden: 2.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
7	Leiden	1	1	0	76:71	1.000
9	Spirou Charleroi	1	0	1	65:69	0.000

Last Results with these Odds

Leiden - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 64.65%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
27.03.26	Limburg United - Leiden	89:61 ✺
15.03.26	Leiden - Kangoeroes Mechelen	59:75 ✺
13.03.26	Kangoeroes Mechelen - Leiden	68:78 ✺
07.03.26	Leiden - Landstede	86:92 ✺
21.02.26	Belfius Mons-Hainaut - Leiden	77:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- Spirou Charleroi
BNXT League
27.03.26	Spirou Charleroi - Kangoeroes Mechelen	79:74 ✺
15.03.26	BAL Weert - Spirou Charleroi	55:86 ✺
13.03.26	Spirou Charleroi - BAL Weert	82:72 ✺
07.03.26	Spirou Charleroi - Brussels	74:82 ✺
21.02.26	Den Helder Suns - Spirou Charleroi	103:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
12.10.25	Spirou Charleroi - Leiden	60:87
02.03.25	Spirou Charleroi - Leiden	98:62
26.10.24	Leiden - Spirou Charleroi	50:73
Dutch DBL
03.05.24	Spirou Charleroi - Leiden	65:71
02.03.24	Leiden - Spirou Charleroi	70:45
BNXT League
07.06.23	Leiden - Spirou Charleroi	71:58
05.06.23	Spirou Charleroi - Leiden	67:86

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