Match Info

BNXT League - Round 24

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportoase (Leuven)


	Leuven Bears		Okapi Aalstar

	1	2
	2.18	1.59
	2.05	1.63
	1.96	1.79
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.01	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.61)	1.7 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leuven Bears
45.6%

Okapi Aalstar
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leuven Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leuven Bears's form might have worsened.

Okapi Aalstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Okapi Aalstar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leuven Bears than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leuven Bears, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Okapi Aalstar than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Okapi Aalstar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Leuven Bears - Okapi Aalstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leuven Bears will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Okapi Aalstar will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leuven Bears (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Anderson T.	0. Colbert E.
11. Bucumi R.	10. Ledegen S.
7. De Mol G.	21. Maddox D.
2. Pruitt W.	3. Maras I.
3. Talford K.	9. Van den Eynde N.
Substitutes
1. Blackmon J.	5. De Boeck J.
4. Mukubu W. (C)	12. Eruka J.
14. Rogiers R.	18. Kreps M.
15. Saevels K.	11. Massey O.
17. Schauvlieger S.	15. Palinckx M.
9. Solie S.	6. Temmerman G.
6. Vanderstraeten V.	4. Unal J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven Bears won 4.

Leuven Bears has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Okapi Aalstar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Okapi Aalstar will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven Bears won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1529:1494. (average 76.5:74.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Leuven Bears won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 738:648. (average 82:72).

Outrights of BNXT League for now

Okapi Aalst: 4.7% Leuven Bears: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Okapi Aalst	1	1	0	95:87	1.000
8	Leuven Bears	2	1	1	147:146	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leuven Bears
BNXT League
13.03.26	Okapi Aalstar - Leuven Bears	95:76 ✺
07.03.26	Leuven Bears - Kangoeroes Mechelen	71:77 OT ✺
21.02.26	Leuven Bears - Donar Groningen	86:78 ✺
18.02.26	Oostende - Leuven Bears	70:71 ✺
14.02.26	Leuven Bears - Leiden	90:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW
- Okapi Aalstar
BNXT League
13.03.26	Okapi Aalstar - Leuven Bears	95:76 ✺
07.03.26	BAL Weert - Okapi Aalstar	82:103 ✺
22.02.26	Landstede - Okapi Aalstar	95:104 ✺
14.02.26	Okapi Aalstar - Brussels	87:84 ✺
31.01.26	Spirou Charleroi - Okapi Aalstar	67:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
13.03.26	Okapi Aalstar - Leuven Bears	95:76
Belgian Cup Basketball
03.01.26	Okapi Aalstar - Leuven Bears	75:82
BNXT League
26.04.25	Leuven Bears - Okapi Aalstar	90:75
14.09.24	Okapi Aalstar - Leuven Bears	51:64
27.03.24	Leuven Bears - Okapi Aalstar	71:63
17.02.24	Okapi Aalstar - Leuven Bears	76:86
14.11.23	Leuven Bears - Okapi Aalstar	84:60

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