Match Info

BNXT League - Round 19

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportoase (Leuven)


	Leuven Bears		Leiden

	1	2
	1.32	2.95	Watch
	1.28	3.24
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.36	2.89
	1.32	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)	2.94 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leuven Bears
68.4%

Leiden
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leuven Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leuven Bears's performance.

Leiden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leuven Bears than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leuven Bears that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leiden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leuven Bears - Leiden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Anderson T.	17. Kruithof L.
11. Bucumi R.	2. Maconda D.
7. De Mol G.	28. Roberts N.
2. Pruitt W.	12. Sicking J.
3. Talford K.	9. van den Elzen S.
Substitutes
1. Blackmon J.	14. Bergsma B.
4. Mukubu W. (C)	13. Huurman S.
14. Rogiers R.	10. Schaftenaar R. (C)
15. Saevels K.	11. Van Zeil L.
17. Schauvlieger S.	3. Wessel V.
9. Solie S.
6. Vanderstraeten V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven Bears won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leuven Bears may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leuven Bears might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Leuven Bears will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leuven Bears won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 540:532. (average 77.1:76).

Including home matches between the teams, Leuven Bears won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 266:188. (average 88.7:62.7).

Outrights of BNXT League for now

Leiden: 2.28% Leuven Bears: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
7	Leiden	1	1	0	76:71	1.000
8	Leuven Bears	2	1	1	147:146	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leuven Bears
Belgian Cup Basketball
07.02.26	Leuven Bears - Spirou Charleroi	84:65 ✺
BNXT League
31.01.26	Den Helder Suns - Leuven Bears	71:66 ✺
24.01.26	Leuven Bears - Limburg United	90:89 ✺
18.01.26	Brussels - Leuven Bears	82:70 ✺
10.01.26	Leuven Bears - BAL Weert	91:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW
- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
31.01.26	Leiden - BAL Weert	80:65 ✺
23.01.26	Rotterdam City - Leiden	73:75 ✺
17.01.26	Oostende - Leiden	76:61 ✺
10.01.26	Leiden - Limburg United	75:77 ✺
Dutch DBL Cup
04.01.26	Landstede - Leiden	101:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
20.12.25	Leiden - Leuven Bears	90:72
29.03.25	Leuven Bears - Leiden	98:63
28.09.24	Leiden - Leuven Bears	78:77
03.06.22	Leiden - Leuven Bears	81:59
01.06.22	Leuven Bears - Leiden	82:68
23.04.22	Leuven Bears - Leiden	86:57
19.03.22	Leiden - Leuven Bears	95:66

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