Match Info

B.League

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Hokkai Kita-yale (Hokkaido)


	Levanga Hokkaido		Nagasaki Velca

	1	2
	2.72	1.41
	2.55	1.4	Watch
	3.31	1.32
	3.04	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.6)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levanga Hokkaido
32.2%

Nagasaki Velca
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levanga Hokkaido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Nagasaki Velca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levanga Hokkaido than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levanga Hokkaido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagasaki Velca than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagasaki Velca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Levanga Hokkaido - Nagasaki Velca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Jones K. (C)	18. Baba Y.
22. Okafor J.	7. Brantley J.
2. Ramos D.	11. Kumagai K.
1. Sekino K.	5. Lee Hyun-Jung
30. Tominaga K.	44. Lightfoot M. M.
Substitutes
29. Hisatake M.	13. Hoshikawa K.
14. Hoshino K.	14. Johnson S.
12. Ichiba S.	4. Karimata M. (C)
8. Kibayashi Y.	99. Kawamata K.
6. Kikuchi H.	6. Morita Y.
34. Morizane K.	32. Tanaka R.
18. Naito T.	17. Yamaguchi H.
Coaches
. Loibl T.	. Maor M.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Nagasaki might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 364:398. (average 72.8:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hokkaido won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 364:398. (average 72.8:79.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Levanga Hokkaido - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Nagasaki Velca - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.42%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levanga Hokkaido Sapporo
Japan B League Premier
11.04.26	Levanga Hokkaido - Nagasaki Velca	82:80 ✺
08.04.26	Saga Ballooners - Levanga Hokkaido	79:76 ✺
05.04.26	Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa - Levanga Hokkaido	91:82 ✺
04.04.26	Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa - Levanga Hokkaido	83:74 ✺
01.04.26	Levanga Hokkaido - Ibaraki Robots	88:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW
- Nagasaki Velca
Japan B League Premier
11.04.26	Levanga Hokkaido - Nagasaki Velca	82:80 ✺
08.04.26	Nagasaki Velca - SAN-EN NeoPhoenix	97:103 ✺
05.04.26	Nagasaki Velca - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	99:88 ✺
04.04.26	Nagasaki Velca - Toyotsu Fighting Eagles Nagoya	96:65 ✺
01.04.26	Osaka Evessa - Nagasaki Velca	71:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
11.04.26	Levanga Hokkaido - Nagasaki Velca	82:80
13.10.24	Levanga Hokkaido - Nagasaki Velca	70:79
12.10.24	Levanga Hokkaido - Nagasaki Velca	59:68
07.04.24	Levanga Hokkaido - Nagasaki Velca	65:86
06.04.24	Levanga Hokkaido - Nagasaki Velca	88:85

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