Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Libertas Livorno		Avellino Basket

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.46	2.42
	1.5	2.42	Watch
			Watch
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	2.47 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertas Livorno
62.5%

Avellino Basket
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertas Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Avellino Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertas Livorno than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino Basket than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Libertas Livorno - Avellino Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Filloy A.	32. Cicchetti A.
24. Penna L.	11. Costi C.
14. Piccoli M.	19. Donati G.
33. Possamai L.	22. Pini G.
1. Woodson A.	0. Zerini A.
Substitutes
8. Fantoni T.	3. Chandler III J.
75. Filoni N.	77. Dell'agnello G.
3. Genti N.	5. Grande A.
5. Tiby M.	2. Jurkatamm M.
11. Tozzi L.	1. Lewis J.
7. Valentini F.	4. Mussini F.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Libertas Livorno might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Libertas Livorno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 231:237. (average 77:79).

Including home match between the teams, Libertas Livorno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 83:66.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	490:402	12
2	Avellino Basket	6	5	1	486:441	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertas Livorno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
28.12.25	Ruvo di Puglia - Libertas Livorno	89:83 ✺
19.12.25	Libertas Livorno - Mestre	75:79 ✺
14.12.25	Rieti - Libertas Livorno	64:75 ✺
07.12.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Libertas Livorno	66:64 ✺
30.11.25	Libertas Livorno - Verona	76:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLW
- Avellino Basket
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
28.12.25	Avellino Basket - Scafati	72:80 ✺
20.12.25	Cividale - Avellino Basket	75:82 ✺
14.12.25	Avellino Basket - Forlì	90:79 ✺
07.12.25	Baltur Cento - Avellino Basket	101:90 ✺
03.12.25	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	85:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
08.11.25	Avellino Basket - Libertas Livorno	87:80
02.03.25	Libertas Livorno - Avellino Basket	83:66
10.11.24	Avellino Basket - Libertas Livorno	84:68

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