Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Modigliani Forum (Livorno)


	Libertas Livorno		Verona

	1	2
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.46	2.5
	1.4	2.92
	1.74	1.91	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.86)	2.58 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertas Livorno
63.7%

Verona
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertas Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertas Livorno's performance.

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Verona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertas Livorno than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertas Livorno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Verona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Libertas Livorno - Verona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertas Livorno (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Verona (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Users Predictions: Libertas Livorno will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Piccoli M.	13. Bolpin R.
33. Possamai L.	12. Poser F.
5. Tiby M.	4. Rossi F.
7. Valentini F.	33. Serpilli M.
1. Woodson A.	18. Zampini F.
Substitutes
8. Fantoni T.	14. Ambrosin L.
12. Filloy A.	11. Frosini F.
75. Filoni N.	7. Pittana D.
3. Genti N.	28. Smith A.
9. Gubinelli N.	45. Spanghero M.
20. Isotta N.
11. Tozzi L.
Coaches
. Diana A.	. Cavina D.

Preview

Recent performances by Libertas Livorno have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Verona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Libertas Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 142:155. (average 71:77.5).

Including home match between the teams, Libertas Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertas Livorno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
26.11.25	Libertas Livorno - Juvi Cremona	90:77 ✺
22.11.25	Roseto Sharks - Libertas Livorno	65:72 ✺
16.11.25	Cividale - Libertas Livorno	83:65 ✺
12.11.25	Libertas Livorno - Forlì	86:59 ✺
08.11.25	Avellino Basket - Libertas Livorno	87:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Basket Verona
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
26.11.25	Verona - Ruvo di Puglia	97:78 ✺
21.11.25	Verona - Blu Basket Bergamo	78:66 ✺
16.11.25	Forlì - Verona	74:85 ✺
12.11.25	Juvi Cremona - Verona	53:75 ✺
09.11.25	Verona - Rieti	61:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
01.02.25	Verona - Libertas Livorno	76:70
01.12.24	Libertas Livorno - Verona	72:79

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