Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 30

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Modigliani Forum (Livorno)


	Libertas Livorno		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	1.74	1.95
	1.65	2.03
	1.71	2.15
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)	2.05 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Libertas Livorno
54.8%

Fortitudo Bologna
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertas Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Fortitudo Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertas Livorno than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Libertas Livorno - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Libertas Livorno will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Fortitudo Bologna will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortitudo Bologna: 67.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortitudo Bologna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:74

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Piccoli M.	6. Anumba S.
33. Possamai L.	21. Fantinelli M.
5. Tiby M.	31. Perkovic T.
7. Valentini F.	3. Sarto A.
1. Woodson A.	9. Sorokas P.
Substitutes
8. Fantoni T.	27. Barbieri M.
12. Filloy A.	7. Della Rosa G.
75. Filoni N.	26. De Vico N.
3. Genti N.	14. Guaiana V.
16. Pacitto M.	10. Imbro M.
24. Penna L.
11. Tozzi L.
Coaches
. Diana A.	. Caja A.

Preview

In recent matches, Libertas Livorno has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fortitudo Bologna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Libertas Livorno might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Libertas Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 191:219. (average 63.7:73).

Including home match between the teams, Libertas Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 66:71.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	2	2	0	151:111	4
2	Fortitudo Bologna	2	2	0	175:151	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertas Livorno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
22.02.26	Urania Milano - Libertas Livorno	73:66 ✺
16.02.26	Baltur Cento - Libertas Livorno	81:74 ✺
11.02.26	Libertas Livorno - Basket Torino	87:62 ✺
08.02.26	Libertas Livorno - Ruvo di Puglia	87:65 ✺
31.01.26	Juvi Cremona - Libertas Livorno	79:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
22.02.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Rieti	79:65 ✺
15.02.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Fortitudo Bologna	83:90 ✺
06.02.26	Basket Torino - Fortitudo Bologna	68:73 ✺
01.02.26	Fortitudo Bologna - Pistoia Basket	81:61 ✺
25.01.26	Scafati - Fortitudo Bologna	90:85 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
07.12.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Libertas Livorno	66:64
27.04.25	Libertas Livorno - Fortitudo Bologna	66:71
24.11.24	Fortitudo Bologna - Libertas Livorno	82:61

Libertas Livorno - Fortitudo Bologna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide