Match Info

Serie A2 - Play-in - Final

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Palasport Flaminio (Rimini) 🌤️ ...


	Rimini		Libertas Livorno

	1	2
	1.65	2.12
	1.78	1.9
	1.65	2.03
	1.68	2.21
	1.67	2.07	Watch
			Watch
	1.67	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)	2.06 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rimini
55.1%

Libertas Livorno
44.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rimini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Libertas Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Rimini aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Libertas Livorno aligns with the current prediction.

Rimini - Libertas Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Denegri D.	3. Genti N.
00. Leardini G.	5. Tiby M.
0. Porter Z.	11. Tozzi L.
1. Saccoccia S.	7. Valentini F.
7. Tomassini G.	1. Woodson A.
Substitutes
35. Alipiev I.	12. Filloy A.
29. Camara G.	75. Filoni N.
20. Georgescu V.	21. Lombardi E.
13. Marini P.	24. Penna L.
18. Pollone L.	14. Piccoli M.
12. Sankare A.	33. Possamai L.
27. Simioni A.

Preview

Recent performances by Rimini have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Libertas Livorno is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rimini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rimini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 320:344. (average 80:86).

Including home matches between the teams, Rimini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 159:186. (average 79.5:93).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	6	6	0	490:402	12
6	Rimini	6	4	2	493:426	8

Last Results with these Odds

Rimini - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinascita Basket Rimini
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
26.04.26	Rimini - Scafati	76:80 ✺
17.04.26	Cividale - Rimini	89:76 ✺
12.04.26	Rimini - Urania Milano	89:75 ✺
08.04.26	Pistoia Basket - Rimini	84:90 ✺
05.04.26	Rimini - Mestre	95:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW
- Libertas Livorno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
29.04.26	Libertas Livorno - Urania Milano	102:84 ✺
26.04.26	Libertas Livorno - Basket Pesaro	84:75 ✺
18.04.26	Mestre - Libertas Livorno	82:90 ✺
12.04.26	Forlì - Libertas Livorno	91:86 ✺
08.04.26	Libertas Livorno - Rieti	80:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
25.01.26	Rimini - Libertas Livorno	77:109
02.11.25	Libertas Livorno - Rimini	84:83
15.01.25	Rimini - Libertas Livorno	82:77
17.11.24	Libertas Livorno - Rimini	74:78

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