Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 8

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: PalaOlimpia (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Verona		Varese

	1	2
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.15	1.7
	2.14	1.66
	2.16	1.74
	2.15	1.73
	2.27	1.65	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.96)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
43.5%

Varese
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Verona - Varese Predictions

Users Predictions: Verona will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:89

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs)).

Verona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cimberio Varese is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cimberio Varese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Verona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 84-85.

Including matches at home between the teams Verona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 84-85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Verona
Italian Lega A Basketball
19.11.22	Reggiana - Verona	65:69 ✺
06.11.22	Verona - Basket Trento	86:92 OT (77:77) ✺
30.10.22	Olimpia Milano - Verona	78:54 ✺
23.10.22	Scafati - Verona	92:87 ✺
15.10.22	Verona - Virtus Bologna	60:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLL
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
19.11.22	Varese - Venezia	93:90 ✺
06.11.22	Scafati - Varese	93:101 ✺
30.10.22	Varese - Treviso Basket	87:85 ✺
22.10.22	Reggiana - Varese	81:87 ✺
16.10.22	Varese - Basket Trento	91:94 OT (85:85) ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
17.09.22	Verona - Varese	84:85

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