Match Info

CHILE: LNB

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Coliseo Universidad Autónoma (Temuco)


	Liceo Pablo Neruda		Puerto Montt

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.08	1.63
	2.06	1.65
	2.25	1.6
	2.07	1.7
	2.08	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.71)	1.65 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liceo Pablo Neruda
44%

Puerto Montt
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liceo Pablo Neruda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liceo Pablo Neruda's performance.

Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puerto Montt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liceo Pablo Neruda than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liceo Pablo Neruda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puerto Montt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liceo Pablo Neruda - Puerto Montt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Acuna F. (C)	23. Cardenas J.
5. Johnson I. L.	44. Coimbra A.
2. Lorequis Wright D.	6. Gomez S.
88. Pavez F.	4. Scott S. I.
11. Rowan K. D.	14. Torres C. (C)
Substitutes
12. Acuna Vergara S.	3. Funk H.
10. Aguirre G.	11. Ojeda C.
9. Anselmo L.	12. Rodallega W.
15. Fuentes J.	2. Svoren J.
1. Iglesias C.	7. Turra Diaz F.
	8. Ulloa N.
	1. Zuhayle A.
Coaches
. Acuna A.	. Tapia J.

Preview

Liceo Pablo Neruda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Puerto Montt is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Puerto Montt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Puerto Montt will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Liceo Pablo Neruda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 66-75.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liceo Pablo Neruda
Chilean LNB
27.04.24	Leones de Quilpue - Liceo Pablo Neruda	126:79 ✺
26.04.24	Universidad Católica - Liceo Pablo Neruda	94:60 ✺
20.04.24	Deportivo Valdivia - Liceo Pablo Neruda	102:88 ✺
13.04.24	Liceo Pablo Neruda - Sportiva Italiana	79:85 ✺
12.04.24	Liceo Pablo Neruda - Puente Alto	79:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CEB Puerto Montt
Chilean LNB
28.04.24	Puerto Montt - Puente Alto	73:85 ✺
27.04.24	Puerto Montt - Sportiva Italiana	75:68 ✺
21.04.24	Naviera Ulloa Castro - Puerto Montt	86:63 ✺
19.04.24	Ancud - Puerto Montt	87:70 ✺
14.04.24	Puerto Montt - Universidad De Concepción	66:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
13.01.24	Puerto Montt - Liceo Pablo Neruda	75:66

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