The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ancud 69.5%
Puerto Montt 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.1%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ancud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ancud's performance.
Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puerto Montt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancud than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ancud that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puerto Montt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ancud - Puerto Montt Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:74
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
4. Lopez A.
7. Alvarez T.
9. Morales F.
18. Barrios L.
23. Moreno L.
14. Mitchell-Watkins K.
3. Scott S. I.
6. Puiggros A.
12. Vega P.
21. Singleton S.
Substitutes
6. Ezeagu B.
75. Barra J.
77. Gatica J.
15. Bartsch A.
20. Gomez H.
11. Correa V.
99. Guzman S.
47. Gomez S.
13. Munoz N.
8. Montero A.
8. Rojas L.
3. Sepulveda B.
11. Vera R.
5. Torres C.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ancud won 3.
In recent outings, Ancud has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Puerto Montt is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Puerto Montt in today's match, at odds of 2.02.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ancud has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1694:1456 (averaging 84.7:72.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ancud against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 922:811 goals (averaging 83.8:73.7 per game).
Standings
Clausura - Winners
Pl
W
L
Pts
5
Puerto Montt
6
4
2
496:488
10
6
Ancud
8
2
6
616:663
10
Last Results with these Odds
Ancud - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 54.56%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Lopez A. 
Barrios L. 
Moreno L. 
Mitchell-Watkins K. 
Scott S. I. 
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