Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Liepajas Olimpiskais centrs (Liepāja)


	Liepāja		Pärnu

	1	2
	2.08	1.7
	1.78	1.83	Watch
	2.34	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.78)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Liepāja
44.9%

Pärnu
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liepāja's form might have worsened.

Pärnu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pärnu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liepāja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pärnu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Liepāja - Pärnu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:83

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. DuSell X. (C)	1. Harris D.
00. Kurucs I.	22. Hint A.
5. Martinsons R.	14. Ilves G.
77. Petrovics H.	11. Johansson D.
11. Shymanskyi V.	10. Ogemuno-Johnson A.
Substitutes
1. Egle E.	2. Aav S. (C)
6. Feierbergs K.	20. Arvidsson J.
2. Jonaitis E.	5. Eelmae H.
14. Liekis E.	16. Lootus K.
10. Sulcs K.	31. Serheyev I.
Coaches
. Visockis-Rubenis A.	. Evart K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 4.

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

Pärnu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 970:1051. (average 80.8:87.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 511:496. (average 85.2:82.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Liepāja
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
16.11.25	BK Ventspils - Liepāja	104:69 ✺
08.11.25	Liepāja - Viimsi	80:83 ✺
04.11.25	VEF Riga - Liepāja	83:71 ✺
29.10.25	Liepāja - Valmiera Glass Via	78:83 ✺
24.10.25	Rīgas Zeļļi - Liepāja	109:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- KK Pärnu
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
15.11.25	TalTech - Pärnu	86:78 ✺
08.11.25	Pärnu - Valmiera Glass Via	62:78 ✺
01.11.25	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	83:71 ✺
25.10.25	Pärnu - Tallinna Kalev	78:86 ✺
18.10.25	Ogre - Pärnu	71:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
11.03.25	Liepāja - Pärnu	98:84
19.10.24	Pärnu - Liepāja	81:91
10.02.24	Pärnu - Liepāja	83:79
07.12.23	Liepāja - Pärnu	75:65
11.03.23	Liepāja - Pärnu	102:98 OT
10.12.22	Pärnu - Liepāja	90:58
05.03.22	Liepāja - Pärnu	84:70

Upcoming Matches