Match Info

Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tallinna Tehnikaulikooli spordihoone (Tallinn)


	TalTech		Pärnu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.48	2.35	Watch
	1.31	2.9
	1.53	2.32	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.5	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	2.52 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TalTech
63.5%

Pärnu
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TalTech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TalTech than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TalTech that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

TalTech - Pärnu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. TalTech will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pärnu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Jurkatamm T.	2. Aav S. (C)
6. Metsalu O. (C)	1. Harris D.
1. Post S.	14. Ilves G.
10. Sutt S.	16. Lootus K.
5. Valb K.	12. Mohamed Y.
Substitutes
21. Arop B. B.	33. Allik W.
11. Kitsing K.	22. Hint A.
19. Niits T.	10. Ogemuno-Johnson A.
15. Pehka R.	24. Sonntak K.
17. Sunelik I.	0. Vaikmae T.
22. Suurorg O.
0. Tirs H.
Coaches
. Varrak A.	. Evart K.

Preview

Tal Tech leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TalTech won 4.

TalTech has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pärnu has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pärnu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

TalTech might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that TalTech will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TalTech won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1583:1635. (average 79.2:81.8).

Including home matches between the teams, TalTech won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 820:816. (average 82:81.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TalTech Basketball
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
15.05.26	Pärnu - TalTech	72:79 ✺
13.05.26	TalTech - Pärnu	88:85 OT ✺
08.05.26	TalTech - Tallinna Kalev	82:95 ✺
05.05.26	Tallinna Kalev - TalTech	77:78 ✺
01.05.26	TalTech - Tallinna Kalev	72:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWL
- KK Pärnu
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
15.05.26	Pärnu - TalTech	72:79 ✺
13.05.26	TalTech - Pärnu	88:85 OT ✺
09.05.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	76:72 ✺
07.05.26	Pärnu - Tartu Rock	63:70 ✺
04.05.26	Tartu Rock - Pärnu	82:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
15.05.26	Pärnu - TalTech	72:79
13.05.26	TalTech - Pärnu	88:85 OT
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
24.01.26	Pärnu - TalTech	76:83
15.11.25	TalTech - Pärnu	86:78
17.01.25	Pärnu - TalTech	77:74
07.12.24	TalTech - Pärnu	71:94
03.02.24	Pärnu - TalTech	92:70

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