Match Info

EUROPE: Eurocup - Round 9

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Kalnapilio arena (Panevėžys)

Referee: Van Den Broeck N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	Sport TV3


	Lietkabelis		Venezia

	1	2
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2.05	1.72
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.22	1.67
	2.11	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)	1.71 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lietkabelis
44.7%

Venezia
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lietkabelis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lietkabelis's form might have worsened.

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venezia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lietkabelis than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lietkabelis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Lietkabelis - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: Lietkabelis will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Bickauskis D.	11. Ennis T.
12. Maldunas G.	21. Kabengele M.
15. Pecarski M.	9. Moretti D.
17. Rubstavicius M.	22. Parks J.
13. Varnas M.	33. Wiltjer K.
Substitutes
25. Briggs J.	7. Casarin D.
16. Kalaitzakis G.	14. Janelidze G.
50. Kovliar O.	4. Lever A.
35. Lavrinovicius D.	2. McGruder R.
10. Lipkevicius V.	25. Simms A.
3. Stenionis D.	00. Tessitori A.
18. Vasiliauskas G.	24. Wheatle C.
Coaches
. Canak N.	. Spahija N.

Preview

Lietkabelis is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Venezia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lietkabelis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 158:158 (average 79:79).

Including matches at home between the teams Lietkabelis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 87:84

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lietkabelis Panevezys
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
17.11.24	Jonava - Lietkabelis	84:82 ✺
Eurocup
13.11.24	U BT Cluj-Napoca - Lietkabelis	100:93 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
09.11.24	Šiauliai - Lietkabelis	96:92 ✺
Eurocup
06.11.24	Lietkabelis - BCJ Hamburg	91:68 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
02.11.24	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	81:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Umana Venezia
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.11.24	Venezia - Reggiana	59:62 ✺
Eurocup
13.11.24	Venezia - Türk Telekom BK	75:67 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
10.11.24	Olimpia Milano - Venezia	79:78 ✺
Eurocup
06.11.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Venezia	94:66 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.11.24	Napoli Basket - Venezia	80:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
08.02.23	Lietkabelis - Venezia	87:84
22.11.22	Venezia - Lietkabelis	74:71

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