Match Info

Lega A - Round 19

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaBarbuto (Naples)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Napoli Basket		Venezia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.66	2.24
	1.7	2.1
	1.75	2.1
	1.75	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.15)	2.14 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
55.8%

Venezia
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli Basket's performance.

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Napoli Basket - Venezia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Napoli Basket (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Napoli Basket will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Napoli Basket will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli Basket (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Venezia (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Bolton R.	7. Candi L.
1. Flagg S.	22. Parks J.
3. Mitrou-Long N.	00. Tessitori A.
25. Simms A.	45. Valentine D.
35. Tote L.	33. Wiltjer K.
Substitutes
30. Caruso G.	5. De Nicolao G.
5. El Amin I.	40. Eramo F.
32. Esposito E.	2. Horton C.
10. Faggian L.	14. Janelidze G.
22. Gentile S.	4. Lever A.
14. Gloria M.	10. Wheatle C.
18. Treier K.
Coaches
. Magro A.	. Spahija N.

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 1.

Recent performances by Napoli Basket have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Venezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Venezia has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 733:789. (average 81.4:87.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli Basket won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 334:350. (average 83.5:87.5).

Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now

Venezia: 7.15% Basket Napoli: 3.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Basket Napoli	2	2	0	193:168	4
4	Venezia	2	2	0	172:155	4

Last Results with these Odds

Venezia - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.73%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
24.01.26	Napoli Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	76:82 ✺
18.01.26	Dinamo Sassari - Napoli Basket	78:84 ✺
12.01.26	Napoli Basket - Olimpia Milano	71:77 ✺
03.01.26	Varese - Napoli Basket	84:80 ✺
28.12.25	Napoli Basket - Cantù	98:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW
- Umana Venezia
Eurocup
04.02.26	Basquet Manresa - Venezia	75:91 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
31.01.26	Cantù - Venezia	81:86 ✺
Eurocup
28.01.26	Venezia - Cedevita Olimpija	86:84 ✺
21.01.26	BCJ Hamburg - Venezia	95:87 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.01.26	Varese - Venezia	94:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
21.12.25	Venezia - Napoli Basket	106:96
09.02.25	Venezia - Napoli Basket	91:68
03.11.24	Napoli Basket - Venezia	80:81
30.03.24	Napoli Basket - Venezia	90:97
07.01.24	Venezia - Napoli Basket	81:89
16.04.23	Napoli Basket - Venezia	88:91
06.11.22	Venezia - Napoli Basket	82:71

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