Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Palais des Sports de Beaublanc (Limoges)


	Limoges		Benfica

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.52	2.55
	1.54	2.38
	1.53	2.59
	1.6	2.25
	1.52	2.46	Watch
	1.54	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)	2.43 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limoges
61.2%

Benfica
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limoges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Limoges's performance.

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limoges than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Limoges - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Limoges will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Benfica will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Limoges: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:75

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Preview

Limoges is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Limoges could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Limoges will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 2.3.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limoges CSP
French LNB
08.10.22	Limoges - Paris	107:100 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.10.22	Limoges - Basquet Manresa	73:76 ✺
French LNB
02.10.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Limoges	81:62 ✺
27.09.22	Limoges - Le Mans	62:69 ✺
24.09.22	Nancy - Limoges	87:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese LPB
08.10.22	Benfica - Madeira	83:71 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.10.22	VEF Riga - Benfica	76:89 ✺
Portuguese LPB
01.10.22	Benfica - Lusitânia	111:85 ✺
Champions League Basketball
25.09.22	Brose Bamberg - Benfica	73:87 ✺
23.09.22	Keravnos Nicosia - Benfica	65:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

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