Match Info

LNB - Round 13

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Palais des Sports de Beaublanc (Limoges)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	Limoges		Le Mans

	1	2
	2	1.71	Watch
	1.98	1.78
	1.98	1.79	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.06	1.79	Watch
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.24)	1.76 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limoges
46.8%

Le Mans
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limoges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Limoges's performance.

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Le Mans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limoges than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Limoges - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Limoges will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Limoges: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Limoges will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Invernizzi H.	3. Williams T.
15. Lang N. (C)	34. DiLeo D.
10. Jovanovic N.	15. Yeguete W. (C)
2. Franklin A.	1. Grasshoff B.
42. Magrit T.	12. Hudgins T.
Substitutes
18. Bussing E.	8. Berhanemeskel J.
32. Guisse M.	5. Bogues S.
5. Lewis J.	10. Doumbia U.
0. Mason F.	32. Dufeal L.
37. Stergar L.	93. Penda S.
9. Tanner S.	4. Simonovic D.
20. Ware G.	35. Thomas T.
Coaches
. Gjergja D.	. Vizade G.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Limoges won 2.

Limoges is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Le Mans has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Le Mans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Limoges has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Limoges won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1495:1598. (average 74.8:79.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Limoges won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 714:665. (average 79.3:73.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limoges CSP
French LNB
19.12.25	Boulazac - Limoges	92:80 ✺
09.12.25	Gravelines - Limoges	79:84 ✺
06.12.25	Cholet Basket - Limoges	91:88 ✺
16.11.25	Limoges - ASVEL Basket	65:81 ✺
09.11.25	Paris - Limoges	115:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
20.12.25	Le Mans - Gravelines	87:66 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.12.25	Le Mans - Spartak Subotica	76:61 ✺
French LNB
12.12.25	Nanterre - Le Mans	98:88 ✺
06.12.25	Le Mans - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	87:93 ✺
22.11.25	Nancy - Le Mans	76:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
01.03.25	Le Mans - Limoges	101:77
19.10.24	Limoges - Le Mans	92:90 OT
05.05.24	Le Mans - Limoges	101:75
19.11.23	Limoges - Le Mans	79:78
12.04.23	Le Mans - Limoges	77:71
27.09.22	Limoges - Le Mans	62:69
12.04.22	Limoges - Le Mans	82:75

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