What is the expert prediction for Nanterre vs Le Mans?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Nanterre vs Le Mans. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Nanterre vs Le Mans Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, May 25, 2026)

Match Info

LNB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez (Nanterre)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	Nanterre		Le Mans

	1	2
	1.53	2.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.25
	1.6	2.39
	1.58	2.31	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.61	2.39
	1.52	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)	2.34 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanterre
59.8%

Le Mans
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanterre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanterre than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Saxen M.	34. DiLeo D.
0. Schoormann L.	1. Grasshoff B.
24. Scott D.	12. Hudgins T.
8. Sene B. (C)	3. Williams T.
1. Yimga-Moukouri H.	15. Yeguete W. (C)
Substitutes
21. Chassang A.	8. Berhanemeskel J.
22. Dussoulier L.	5. Bogues S.
6. Lacombe P.	10. Doumbia U.
17. Prkacin R.	32. Dufeal L.
30. Senglin J.	18. Jeanne J.
5. Zeigler Z.	35. Thomas T.
Coaches
. Mahe J.	. Vizade G.

Preview

First leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nanterre won 1.

In recent matches, Nanterre has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Le Mans is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nanterre could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nanterre won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1669:1685. (average 83.5:84.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nanterre won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 857:848. (average 85.7:84.8).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JSF Nanterre
French LNB
16.05.26	Nanterre - Cholet Basket	66:79 ✺
09.05.26	Gravelines - Nanterre	80:85 OT ✺
02.05.26	Nanterre - Dijon	87:69 ✺
19.04.26	Limoges - Nanterre	97:79 ✺
10.04.26	Nanterre - Nancy	86:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
16.05.26	Le Mans - Limoges	101:84 ✺
09.05.26	Saint-Quentin - Le Mans	85:88 ✺
30.04.26	Le Mans - Nancy	102:74 ✺
French Cup Basketball
25.04.26	Le Mans - AS Monaco Basket	83:87 ✺
French LNB
18.04.26	Gravelines - Le Mans	83:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
07.03.26	Le Mans - Nanterre	79:71
French Leaders Cup Basketball
20.02.26	Nanterre - Le Mans	67:82
French LNB
12.12.25	Nanterre - Le Mans	98:88
18.01.25	Nanterre - Le Mans	67:85
12.10.24	Le Mans - Nanterre	94:87
09.03.24	Le Mans - Nanterre	76:89
04.10.23	Nanterre - Le Mans	93:81

Nanterre - Le Mans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide