Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Nokia Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Magenta Sport, RTL
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Lithuania	TV3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
World	Court Side 1891


	Lithuania		Germany

	1	2
	3	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.44
	3.04	1.4
	3.23	1.30	Watch
	3.4	1.33
	3.04	1.43	Watch
	3.75	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.75)	1.36 ↑ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lithuania
30.2%

Germany
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lithuania's performance.

Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Germany might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Lithuania - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Germany will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lithuania: 63.4% – 93.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Germany (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lithuania (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 159.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5.5, OT - Lithuania (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Germany (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jokubaitis R. Maccabi Tel Aviv	42. Obst A. Bayern
2. Normantas M. BC Rytas	17. Schroder D. (C) Detroit Pistons
7. Radzevicius G. BC Rytas	10. Theis D. AS Monaco
8. Sedekerskis T. Saski Baskonia	7. Voigtmann J. Bayern
17. Valanciunas J. (C) Denver Nuggets	9. Wagner F. Orlando Magic
Substitutes
15. Birutis L. Zalgiris Kaunas	0. Bonga I. Partizan
1. Blazevic M. BC Wolves	1. Da Silva O. Bayern
31. Giedraitis R. Crvena zvezda	5. da Silva T. Orlando Magic
43. Sargiunas I. BC Rytas	21. Hollatz J. Bayern
91. Sirvydis D. Zalgiris Kaunas	34. Kratzer L. Paris
10. Tubelis A. Zalgiris Kaunas	4. Lo M. Paris
3. Velicka A. Braunschweig	32. Thiemann J. Gunma
Coaches
. Kurtinaitis R.	. Mumbru A.

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Germany may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Germany is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 196:181. (average 98:90.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lithuania basketball
EuroBasket
29.08.25	Lithuania - Montenegro	94:67 ✺
27.08.25	Great Britain - Lithuania	70:94 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
22.08.25	Lithuania - Iceland	96:83 ✺
20.08.25	Lithuania - Turkey	81:84 ✺
15.08.25	Lithuania - Slovenia	94:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW
- Germany basketball
EuroBasket
29.08.25	Germany - Sweden	105:83 ✺
27.08.25	Montenegro - Germany	76:106 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
23.08.25	Germany - Spain	95:78 ✺
21.08.25	Spain - Germany	105:106 OT ✺
DBB Supercup
16.08.25	Germany - Serbia	81:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
04.09.22	Lithuania - Germany	107:109 OT (89:89)
06.09.17	Germany - Lithuania	72:89

Lithuania - Germany: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide