Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 4

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Svyturio Arena (Klaipeda) 🌤️ ...


	Lithuania		Iceland

	1	2
	1.02	10.5	Watch
	1.05	10.5
	1.04	10	Watch
	1.04	8.21
	1.06	8.06	Watch
	1.06	8.5
	1.06	8.1
	1.16	4.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.16)	8.56 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lithuania
89%

Iceland
11%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

79.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lithuania's performance.

Iceland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iceland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lithuania - Iceland Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Iceland will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -15.5, OT - Lithuania (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Blazevic M. Tofas	10. Fridriksson E. Anwil Wloclawek
9. Brazdeikis I. Zalgiris Kaunas	6. Gudmundsson J. San Pablo Burgos
33. Kacinas M. Trefl Sopot	32. Hlinason T. Bilbao
43. Sargiunas I. BC Rytas	14. Palsson K.
30. Zemaitis K. Manisa Buyuksehri	3. Steinarsson A. Stjarnan
Substitutes
22. Bendzius E. Udine	8. Alexandersson V. Njardvik
12. Geben M. Basquet Girona	5. Henningsson H. Stjarnan
23. Jogela M. Trento	17. Nathanaelsson R. Alftanes
13. Kariniauskas V. Siauliai	13. Olafsson O. Grindavik
2. Normantas M. Bilbao	18. Petursson S. Alftanes
71. Rubstavicius M. Zalgiris Kaunas	9. Thorbjarnarson T. KR Basket Reykjavik
10. Tubelis A. Zalgiris Kaunas	34. Thrastarson S. Zamora
Coaches
. Kurtinaitis R.	. Pedersen C.

Preview

In this match, Lithuania is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Iceland: Booker F. (Injury) Hermannsson M. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 265:231. (average 88.3:77).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lithuania basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Iceland - Lithuania	86:85 ✺
30.11.25	Lithuania - Italy	81:82 ✺
27.11.25	Great Britain - Lithuania	88:89 ✺
EuroBasket
09.09.25	Lithuania - Greece	76:87 ✺
06.09.25	Lithuania - Latvia	88:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW
- Iceland basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Iceland - Lithuania	86:85 ✺
30.11.25	Iceland - Great Britain	84:90 ✺
27.11.25	Italy - Iceland	76:81 ✺
EuroBasket
04.09.25	France - Iceland	114:74 ✺
02.09.25	Iceland - Slovenia	79:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Iceland - Lithuania	86:85
Friendly International Basketball
22.08.25	Lithuania - Iceland	96:83
23.08.17	Lithuania - Iceland	84:62

Lithuania - Iceland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide