Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaMacchia (Livorno)


	Livorno		Matelica

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.72	1.95
	1.79	1.95
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.68	1.93	Watch
	1.72	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.79)	2.01 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 129.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
54.3%

Matelica
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Livorno's performance.

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matelica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livorno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matelica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Livorno - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:64

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Botteghi A.	16. Bonvecchio I.
9. Georgieva I.	5. Cabrini A.
12. Miccio L.	8. Celani N.
10. Orsini F. L.	12. Gramaccioni B.
1. Wojtala A.	15. Poggio A.
Substitutes
5. Ceccarini S. (C)	33. Andreanelli L.
33. Evangelista F.	73. Catarozzo A.
16. Mollicone I.	9. Fantini M.
22. Okodugha A.	13. Gonzalez D. (C)
8. Sassetti I.	7. Patane G.
	41. Sanchez E.
	14. Zamparini A.
Coaches
. Angiolini W.	. Sorgentone D.

Preview

Matelica leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Matelica is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Livorno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 71:77

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertas Livorno Women
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
23.04.25	Matelica - Livorno	77:71 ✺
12.04.25	Livorno - Salerno	80:56 ✺
05.04.25	Virtus Benevento - Livorno	47:73 ✺
29.03.25	Empoli - Livorno	63:61 ✺
22.03.25	Livorno - Giussano	80:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLW
- Basket Matelica
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
23.04.25	Matelica - Livorno	77:71 ✺
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
12.04.25	Matelica - Rovigo	70:72 ✺
05.04.25	Treviso - Matelica	53:60 ✺
29.03.25	Matelica - Panthers Roseto	83:67 ✺
22.03.25	APU Udine - Matelica	81:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
23.04.25	Matelica - Livorno	77:71

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