Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. A - Round 17

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: PalaMacchia (Livorno)


	Livorno		Sanga Milano

	1	2
	2.08	1.68
	2.05	1.66
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.04)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 132.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
45.1%

Sanga Milano
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Sanga Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanga Milano than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sanga Milano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Livorno - Sanga Milano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Livorno (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:68

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Botteghi A. (C)	10. Bestagno E.
3. Marangoni S.	23. Marinkovic A.
12. Miccio L.	24. Olson A.
15. Poggio A.	11. Tava A.
6. Sammartini G.	0. Toffali S. (C)
Substitutes
2. Braccagni G.	14. Allievi V.
16. Poggi M.	15. Barberis M.
9. Rinaldi S.	22. Colombo B.
8. Sassetti I.	5. Guarneri S.
11. Spagnoli S.	7. Nespoli I.
Coaches
. Andreoli L.	. Pinotti F.

Preview

Livorno is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sanga Milano is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 186:194. (average 62:64.7).

Including home match between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 59:60.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Sanga Milano W	1	1	0	68:51	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertas Livorno Women
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
24.01.26	San Salvatore Selargius - Livorno	34:72 ✺
17.01.26	Basket Costa - Livorno	66:65 ✺
10.01.26	Livorno - Moncalieri	89:61 ✺
21.12.25	Milano Basket Stars - Livorno	55:81 ✺
13.12.25	Livorno - Virtus Cagliari	71:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW
- Sanga Milano
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
24.01.26	Sanga Milano - Milano Basket Stars	79:56 ✺
17.01.26	San Giovanni Valdarno - Sanga Milano	68:74 OT ✺
10.01.26	Sanga Milano - Torino	73:48 ✺
13.12.25	Giussano - Sanga Milano	57:64 ✺
06.12.25	Sanga Milano - San Salvatore Selargius	66:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
25.10.25	Sanga Milano - Livorno	68:56
19.03.25	Sanga Milano - Livorno	66:71
02.11.24	Livorno - Sanga Milano	59:60

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