Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. B - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Palazzetto Costa Masnaga (Costa Masnaga)


	Basket Costa		Livorno

	1	2
	1.8	1.88
	2.02	1.74
	1.76	1.92	Watch
	1.74	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)	1.85 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Costa
50.2%

Livorno
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Costa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Costa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Basket Costa - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Brossmann P.	7. Botteghi A. (C)
9. Moscarella Contreras M. P.	3. Marangoni S.
11. N'Guessan N. (C)	12. Miccio L.
15. Pirozzi G.	15. Poggio A.
7. Teder J. E.	6. Sammartini G.
Substitutes
6. Cibinetto G.	2. Braccagni G.
1. La Malfa A.	18. Cruz C.
10. Lelli O.	0. Nikitinaite G.
91. Olandi G.	16. Poggi M.
12. Redaelli G.	9. Rinaldi S.
8. Sanogo A.	8. Sassetti I.
20. Volpato E.	11. Spagnoli S.
Coaches
. Bereziartua F.	. Andreoli L.

Preview

First leg.

Basket Costa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Livorno has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basket Costa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Basket Costa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 207:214. (average 69:71.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Basket Costa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 142:120. (average 71:60).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Basket Costa
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
19.04.26	Golfobasket - Basket Costa	57:65 ✺
15.04.26	Basket Costa - Golfobasket	89:81 ✺
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
03.04.26	Basket Costa - Viterbo Ants	90:63 ✺
28.03.26	San Giovanni Valdarno - Basket Costa	95:74 ✺
24.03.26	Basket Costa - San Salvatore Selargius	77:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Libertas Livorno Women
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group B
16.04.26	Livorno - BC Bolzano	61:56 ✺
11.04.26	BC Bolzano - Livorno	46:83 ✺
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
03.04.26	Livorno - Milano Basket Stars	94:68 ✺
28.03.26	Virtus Cagliari - Livorno	62:58 ✺
22.03.26	Empoli - Livorno	87:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
17.01.26	Basket Costa - Livorno	66:65
11.10.25	Livorno - Basket Costa	94:65
18.01.25	Basket Costa - Livorno	76:55

Basket Costa - Livorno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide