Match Info
Segunda FEB - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 9 May 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | LaLiga+ |
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Llíria |
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Castelló |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.1 |
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1.3 |
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 |
3.67 |
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1.18 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.56 |
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1.41 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↑
(2.56) |
|
1.3 ↓
(1.41) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 157.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Llíria
29.4% | Castelló
70.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llíria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llíria's form might have worsened.Castelló has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castelló's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llíria than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llíria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelló than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castelló, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Llíria - Castelló Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:82 
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Preview
First leg.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. Castelló is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llíria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 152:180. (average 76:90).Including home match between the teams, Llíria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 80:87.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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