Match Info

NCAA

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Longwood Lancers		UNC-Asheville Bulldogs

	1	2
	1.67	2.15
	1.65	2.12
	1.69	2.17
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.7	2.15
	1.73	2.1
	1.74	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	2.12 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Longwood Lancers
55.5%

UNC-Asheville Bulldogs
44.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Longwood Lancers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

UNC-Asheville Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Longwood Lancers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNC-Asheville Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Longwood Lancers - UNC Asheville Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Longwood won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

UNC-Asheville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Longwood won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1188:1180. (average 69.9:69.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Longwood won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 575:573. (average 71.9:71.6).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Longwood: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Longwood Lancers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Winthrop Eagles - Longwood Lancers	79:74 ✺
04.02.26	Gardner-Webb Runnin` Bulldogs - Longwood Lancers	66:86 ✺
31.01.26	Longwood Lancers - High Point Panthers	59:71 ✺
29.01.26	USC Upstate Spartans - Longwood Lancers	65:60 ✺
23.01.26	Longwood Lancers - Charleston Southern Buccaneers	81:79 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW
- UNC-Asheville Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.02.26	UNC-Asheville Bulldogs - USC Upstate Spartans	76:67 ✺
31.01.26	Winthrop Eagles - UNC-Asheville Bulldogs	84:71 ✺
29.01.26	UNC-Asheville Bulldogs - Gardner-Webb Runnin` Bulldogs	69:50 ✺
21.01.26	USC Upstate Spartans - UNC-Asheville Bulldogs	69:83 ✺
17.01.26	UNC-Asheville Bulldogs - Winthrop Eagles	67:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.01.26	UNC-Asheville Bulldogs - Longwood Lancers	72:61
22.02.25	UNC-Asheville Bulldogs - Longwood Lancers	87:82
08.01.25	Longwood Lancers - UNC-Asheville Bulldogs	85:76
10.03.24	UNC-Asheville Bulldogs - Longwood Lancers	59:85
21.02.24	Longwood Lancers - UNC-Asheville Bulldogs	80:75
13.01.24	UNC-Asheville Bulldogs - Longwood Lancers	65:61
25.02.23	Longwood Lancers - UNC-Asheville Bulldogs	66:76

Longwood Lancers - UNC-Asheville Bulldogs