Match Info

1. Liga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Sportowo-Widowiskowa (Krosno)


	MOSiR Krosno		Astoria Bydgoszcz

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.86	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.81
	1.88	1.82	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.89	1.83
	1.86	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.72)	1.85 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOSiR Krosno
50.2%

Astoria Bydgoszcz
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOSiR Krosno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Astoria Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOSiR Krosno than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astoria Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

MOSiR Krosno - Astoria Bydgoszcz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Chrabota M.	95. Andrzejewski J.
91. Gorenczyk J.	11. Kaminski K.
3. Jackson C.	14. Kimbrough M.
8. Serwanski R.	12. Kiwilsza S.
17. Wrona P.	0. Wilk P.
Substitutes
94. Chrusciel C.	8. Chylinski M. (C)
12. Jankowski M.	24. Czempiel M.
11. Laihonen M.	1. Dzierzak W.
99. Lalak H.	90. Kachelski N.
95. Terlecki K.	99. Siewruk F.
9. Trubacz R. (C)	93. Winkowski P.
	96. Zablocki M.
Coaches
. Valeiko E.	. Skiba G.

Preview

Series tied 2-2. 5th leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krosno won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Krosno won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 623:643. (average 77.9:80.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Krosno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 331:338. (average 82.8:84.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKK MOSiR Krosno
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
18.05.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - MOSiR Krosno	87:77 ✺
17.05.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - MOSiR Krosno	72:73 ✺
11.05.25	MOSiR Krosno - Astoria Bydgoszcz	86:84 ✺
10.05.25	MOSiR Krosno - Astoria Bydgoszcz	86:94 ✺
03.05.25	WKK Wrocław - MOSiR Krosno	78:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW
- Astoria Bydgoszcz
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
18.05.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - MOSiR Krosno	87:77 ✺
17.05.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - MOSiR Krosno	72:73 ✺
11.05.25	MOSiR Krosno - Astoria Bydgoszcz	86:84 ✺
10.05.25	MOSiR Krosno - Astoria Bydgoszcz	86:94 ✺
07.05.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Sokol Lancut	91:89 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
18.05.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - MOSiR Krosno	87:77
17.05.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - MOSiR Krosno	72:73
11.05.25	MOSiR Krosno - Astoria Bydgoszcz	86:84
10.05.25	MOSiR Krosno - Astoria Bydgoszcz	86:94
31.01.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - MOSiR Krosno	85:73
23.10.24	MOSiR Krosno - Astoria Bydgoszcz	86:90
10.02.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - MOSiR Krosno	61:69

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