Match Info

NKL - Round 7

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai) 🌤️ ...


	Mažeikiai		Plunges Olimpas

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2	1.67	Watch
	2.07	1.7
	2.01	1.69	Watch
	2.06	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.65)	1.68 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mažeikiai
45.2%

Plunges Olimpas
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mažeikiai's form might have worsened.

Plunges Olimpas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plunges Olimpas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mažeikiai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plunges Olimpas than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plunges Olimpas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mažeikiai - Plunges Olimpas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Kone A.	55. Jamias Byrd E.
5. Kupstas T.	16. Macijauskas M.
1. Lopukhov A.	13. Mustiatsa V.
41. Plintauskas A. (C)	3. Razutis I.
4. Williams R.	11. Thomas M.
Substitutes
8. Adomavicius N.	17. Bartasius Z.
11. JaQuavian F.	8. Jurkaitis M. (C)
12. Klimas L.	33. Kuodys D.
15. Mickus A.	2. Maziliauskas M.
3. Preibys E.	1. Muhammad N.
25. Prongos D. L.	23. Seputis O.
Coaches
. Pakamanis D.	. Tamusauskas M.

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Mažeikiai (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Plunges Olimpas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Plunges Olimpas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Mažeikiai has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 176:154 (averaging 88:77 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mažeikiai against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 90:75 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Plunges Olimpas	9	5	4	723:708	5
16	Mazeikiai	9	1	8	668:777	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
17.10.26	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	77:90 ✺
15.10.26	Kėdainiai - Mažeikiai	92:85 ✺
10.10.26	Mažeikiai - Jurbarkas-Karys	62:91 ✺
08.10.26	Telšiai - Mažeikiai	83:72 ✺
03.10.26	Mažeikiai - Rytas 2	75:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLLW
- Plunges Olimpas
Lietuvos NKL
17.10.26	Plunges Olimpas - Rytas 2	89:64 ✺
15.10.26	Olimpas Palanga - Plunges Olimpas	102:76 ✺
10.10.26	Omega Tauras - Plunges Olimpas	82:93 ✺
08.10.26	Plunges Olimpas - Kretinga	98:85 ✺
03.10.26	Telšiai - Plunges Olimpas	90:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
03.02.26	Plunges Olimpas - Mažeikiai	79:86
27.11.25	Mažeikiai - Plunges Olimpas	90:75

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