Match Info

NKL

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)


	Mažeikiai		Neptūnas-Akvaservis

	1	2
	1.47	2.4	Watch
	1.42	2.52
	1.49	2.40	Watch
	1.47	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	2.47 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mažeikiai
62.8%

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Mažeikiai - Neptūnas Akvaservis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gadiliauskas R.	6. Jonkus E. (C)
13. Karasov P.	16. Macijauskas M.
5. Marquett Epps D.	13. Maciulis R.
1. Mokseckas G. (C)	24. Metrikis K.
4. Young C. K.	28. Remeikis D.
Substitutes
41. Copeland C.	1. Erlickis A.
2. Juodis G.	77. Lesciauskas K.
15. Mickus A.	11. Rinkevicius T.
12. Motuzas M.	12. Sakaitis R.
14. Narusevicius E.	7. Sarakauskas S.
7. Stropus J.	31. Zilius E.
	10. Zymantas A.
Coaches
. Kiltinavicius M.	. Gaidamavicius T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mažeikiai won 1.

Mažeikiai is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Neptūnas-Akvaservis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Neptūnas-Akvaservis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mažeikiai is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mažeikiai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 450:513. (average 75:85.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mažeikiai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 214:233. (average 71.3:77.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
18.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Mažeikiai	88:82 ✺
16.10.25	Mažeikiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	91:85 ✺
11.10.25	Mažeikiai - Omega Tauras	62:92 ✺
09.10.25	Telšiai - Mažeikiai	93:92 ✺
04.10.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Mažeikiai	80:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
18.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	87:75 ✺
11.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	70:91 ✺
09.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Perlas Vilkaviškis	81:82 ✺
04.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kretinga	98:71 ✺
02.10.25	Omega Tauras - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	91:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
31.03.18	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	59:75
29.03.18	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Mažeikiai	113:82
27.03.18	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	86:79
24.03.18	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Mažeikiai	86:84
19.01.18	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Mažeikiai	81:70
04.01.18	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	69:79

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