Match Info

Liga Leumit - Play Out - Round 1

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Maccabi Kiryat Gat		Maccabi Maale Adumim

	1	2
	1.55	2.15
	1.56	2.31
	1.56	2.24
	1.62	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.32)	2.19 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
58.2%

Maccabi Maale Adumim
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Kiryat Gat's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Maale Adumim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Maale Adumim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Kiryat Gat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Maale Adumim than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Maale Adumim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Maccabi Maale Adumim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Maccabi Kiryat Gat will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Kiryat Gat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 151:155. (average 75.5:77.5).

Including home match between the teams, Maccabi Kiryat Gat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:74.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Gat BC
Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
28.04.26	Ironi Nahariya - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	94:71 ✺
24.04.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Maccabi Petah Tikva	86:80 ✺
20.04.26	Hapoel Safed - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	90:81 ✺
17.04.26	Maccabi Haifa - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	89:90 ✺
14.04.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Ramat HaSharon	103:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWW
- Maccabi Maale Adumim
Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
28.04.26	Maccabi Maale Adumim - Maccabi Petah Tikva	68:89 ✺
24.04.26	Maccabi Maale Adumim - Hapoel Migdal Haemek	79:83 ✺
17.04.26	Maccabi Ashdod - Maccabi Maale Adumim	103:80 ✺
14.04.26	Maccabi Haifa - Maccabi Maale Adumim	77:87 ✺
10.04.26	Maccabi Maale Adumim - Elitzur Yavne	81:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
27.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Maccabi Maale Adumim	85:74
07.11.25	Maccabi Maale Adumim - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	81:66

Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Maccabi Maale Adumim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide