Match Info

Liga Leumit - Play Out - Round 2

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Safed		Maccabi Kiryat Gat

	1	2
	2.92	1.3
	2.99	1.34
	3.31	1.27
	2.81	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.2)	1.32 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Safed
30.4%

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Safed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Safed's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Kiryat Gat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Safed than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Safed, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Kiryat Gat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Safed - Maccabi Kiryat Gat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:94

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Preview

Hapoel Safed has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maccabi Kiryat Gat is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Safed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 164:169. (average 82:84.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Safed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 90:81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Safed
Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
05.05.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Safed	108:101 ✺
28.04.26	Maccabi Ashdod - Hapoel Safed	123:101 ✺
24.04.26	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Safed	97:84 ✺
20.04.26	Hapoel Safed - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	90:81 ✺
17.04.26	Hapoel Safed - Otef Darom	92:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat BC
Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
05.05.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Maccabi Maale Adumim	100:63 ✺
28.04.26	Ironi Nahariya - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	94:71 ✺
24.04.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Maccabi Petah Tikva	86:80 ✺
20.04.26	Hapoel Safed - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	90:81 ✺
17.04.26	Maccabi Haifa - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	89:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
20.04.26	Hapoel Safed - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	90:81
24.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Safed	88:74

Hapoel Safed - Maccabi Kiryat Gat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide