Match Info

Liga Leumit - Play Out - Round 1

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Maccabi Petah Tikva		Hapoel Safed

	1	2
	1.4	2.52
	1.27	3.33
	1.31	3.06
	1.41	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.55)	2.86 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Petah Tikva
68%

Hapoel Safed
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Petah Tikva's performance.

Hapoel Safed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Safed might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Petah Tikva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Safed than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Safed could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Safed Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:84

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Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Maccabi Petah Tikva might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Maccabi Petah Tikva will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Petah Tikva won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 192:143. (average 96:71.5).

Including home match between the teams, Maccabi Petah Tikva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 95:67.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Petah Tikva Basketball
Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
28.04.26	Maccabi Maale Adumim - Maccabi Petah Tikva	68:89 ✺
24.04.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Maccabi Petah Tikva	86:80 ✺
17.04.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Elitzur Shomron	89:81 ✺
14.04.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Haifa	72:70 ✺
10.04.26	Maccabi Rehovot - Maccabi Petah Tikva	80:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL
- Hapoel Safed
Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
28.04.26	Maccabi Ashdod - Hapoel Safed	123:101 ✺
24.04.26	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Safed	97:84 ✺
20.04.26	Hapoel Safed - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	90:81 ✺
17.04.26	Hapoel Safed - Otef Darom	92:101 ✺
14.04.26	Hapoel Safed - Elitzur Yavne	119:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
10.02.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Safed	95:67
04.11.25	Hapoel Safed - Maccabi Petah Tikva	76:97

Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Safed: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide