Match Info

LPB - Round 1

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete (Funchal)


	Madeira		Vitória de Guimarães

	1	2
	1.44	2.48
	1.32	3.20
	1.27	3.41
	1.32	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.5)	3.11 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madeira
69.9%

Vitória de Guimarães
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madeira's performance.

Vitória de Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória de Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Madeira - Vitória de Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Heinz W.	27. Drumwright M.
22. Sa N.	16. Guedes A.
3. Thomas F.	20. Runge D.
10. Tomley M.	7. Simao T.
32. Toney T.	1. Stein R.
Substitutes
11. Dias T.	4. Costa J.
4. Ferreira B.	8. Costa R. (C)
13. Gallina J. (C)
72. Lisboa T.
5. Pimenta L.
15. Robert C.
19. Silva G.
Coaches
. Fernandes M.	. Miranda M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madeira won 2.

Madeira may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Madeira has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1680:1768 (averaging 84:88.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Madeira against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 841:848 goals (averaging 84.1:84.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Vitoria	1	1	0	83:78	2
7	CAB Madeira	1	0	1	78:83	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAB Madeira
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.26	Ovarense - Madeira	82:83 ✺
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
31.05.26	Povoa - Madeira	90:72 ✺
30.05.26	Povoa - Madeira	78:61 ✺
24.05.26	Madeira - Povoa	90:72 ✺
16.05.26	Madeira - Illiabum	76:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWW
- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.26	Oliveirense - Vitória de Guimarães	93:62 ✺
Portuguese LPB
25.04.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Oliveirense	84:74 ✺
18.04.26	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Vitória de Guimarães	96:89 ✺
11.04.26	Vitória de Guimarães - Esgueira	105:106 ✺
04.04.26	Braga - Vitória de Guimarães	101:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
01.04.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Madeira	106:82
05.03.23	Madeira - Vitória de Guimarães	104:90
28.01.23	Madeira - Vitória de Guimarães	79:101
Taca de Portugal Basketball
11.12.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Madeira	91:109
Portuguese LPB
05.11.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Madeira	101:75
29.01.22	Madeira - Vitória de Guimarães	78:93
07.11.21	Vitória de Guimarães - Madeira	76:84

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