Match Info

Proliga - Round 11

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope (Maia)


	Maia		Sampaense

	1	2
	1.1	4.95
	1.09	4.72
	1.15	4.64	Watch
	1.14	4.75
	1.17	4.49
	1.12	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.19)	4.84 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maia
81.1%

Sampaense
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sampaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Maia - Sampaense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Heinz W.	20. Arikawe T.
72. Lisboa T.	2. Banaru V.
17. Skoric G.	22. Bastos M.
10. Tomley M.	8. Goncalves D. (C)
5. Valgode A.	1. Iyaye A.
Substitutes
12. Caetano F.	12. Abrantes P.
35. Carvalho A.	11. Diop M.
20. Ferreira R.	4. Marques A.
28. Figueiredo T.	25. Quissanga S.
4. Magalhaes M. (C)	6. Silva A.
54. Oliveira R.
47. Pontes I.
Coaches
. Rodrigues N.	. Figueiredo C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maia won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sampaense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Maia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1133:1124. (average 80.9:80.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 566:512. (average 80.9:73.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
08.12.25	Povoa - Maia	105:73 ✺
07.12.25	Académica Coimbra - Maia	59:88 ✺
22.11.25	Maia - Illiabum	71:64 ✺
15.11.25	Maia - Alianca Sangalhos	110:66 ✺
08.11.25	Casino Ginásio - Maia	84:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWL
- Sampaense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
07.12.25	Povoa - Sampaense	73:50 ✺
29.11.25	Sampaense - Alianca Sangalhos	79:76 ✺
22.11.25	Lusitânia - Sampaense	87:46 ✺
15.11.25	Académica Coimbra - Sampaense	58:75 ✺
08.11.25	Sampaense - Illiabum	84:87 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
25.10.25	Sampaense - Maia	67:79
22.03.25	Sampaense - Maia	96:72
01.02.25	Maia - Sampaense	73:79
11.01.25	Sampaense - Maia	97:84
16.11.24	Maia - Sampaense	83:75
04.02.24	Maia - Sampaense	91:68
02.12.23	Sampaense - Maia	77:89

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