Match Info

Proliga - Winners stage - Round 11

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope (Maia)


	Maia		Madeira

	1	2
	1.78	1.89
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.73	1.95
	1.77	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.74)	1.91 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maia
51.8%

Madeira
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Madeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Maia - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guerreiro J.	2. Buccila V.
9. Heinz W.	24. Eberhart T.
72. Lisboa T.	3. Embalo J.
17. Skoric G.	4. Ferreira B.
10. Tomley M.	15. Newman M.
Substitutes
34. Baptista L.	11. Dias T.
20. Ferreira R.	00. Fernandes J. (C)
28. Figueiredo T.	13. Gallina J.
4. Magalhaes M. (C)	10. Leite L.
54. Oliveira R.	33. Oliveira J.
30. Oliveira S.	21. Pimenta L.
5. Valgode A.
Coaches
. Rodrigues N.	. Fernandes M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maia won 2.

Maia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Madeira is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Maia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Madeira has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Maia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1164:1353. (average 72.8:84.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Maia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 592:672. (average 74:84).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Maia	1	1	0	105:96	2

Last Results with these Odds

Maia - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 51.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
29.03.26	Casino Ginásio - Maia	81:109 ✺
28.03.26	Maia - Casino Ginásio	87:80 ✺
21.03.26	Illiabum - Maia	72:69 ✺
15.03.26	Maia - Imortal B	84:49 ✺
07.03.26	Maia - Ginásio Olhanense	93:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW
- CAB Madeira
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
28.03.26	Madeira - Portimonense	81:74 ✺
21.03.26	Casino Ginásio - Madeira	86:95 ✺
14.03.26	Madeira - Illiabum	68:64 ✺
08.03.26	Madeira - Imortal B	85:83 ✺
21.02.26	Madeira - Povoa	75:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
14.02.26	Madeira - Maia	75:81
13.04.24	Madeira - Maia	88:44
10.03.24	Maia - Madeira	80:73
Portuguese LPB
27.02.21	Madeira - Maia	95:72
Taca de Portugal Basketball
20.01.21	Maia - Madeira	69:81
Portuguese LPB
07.11.20	Maia - Madeira	73:85
07.03.20	Maia - Madeira	75:79

Maia - Madeira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide