Match Info
Proliga - Winners stage - Round 12Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope (Maia)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Maia |
|
Portimonense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.38 |
|
2.6 |
|
 |
1.39 |
|
2.62 |
|
 |
1.42 |
|
2.63 |
 Watch |
 |
1.4 |
|
2.7 |
|
 |
1.37 |
|
2.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.39) |
|
2.68 ↑
(2.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 159.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maia
65.8% | Portimonense
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maia than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Maia - Portimonense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:77 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
13.  Guerreiro J.
| 11.  Fall C.
|
9.  Heinz W.
| 1. Fragoso D. (C)
|
72. Lisboa T.
| 9.  Grewal J.
|
17. Skoric G.
| 8. Sotta H.
|
10. Tomley M.
| 22.  Staine F.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
34. Baptista L.
| 4. Marreiros R.
|
20. Ferreira R.
| 23.  Monteiro A.
|
28. Figueiredo T.
| 6. Mota J.
|
4. Magalhaes M. (C)
| 10. Palhau A.
|
54. Oliveira R.
| 0. Parrinha A.
|
30. Oliveira S.
| 2. Queiroz M.
|
47. Pontes I.
| 13. Santinhos G.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Rodrigues N.
| . Almeida C.
|
Preview
Maia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Portimonense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Maia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 220:222. (average 73.3:74).Including home match between the teams, Maia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 65:60.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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