Match Info

NBL1 East

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Maitland Mustangs		Hills Hornets

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.5
	1.3	2.92
	1.27	3.33
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.33	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)	3.2 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maitland Mustangs
71.2%

Hills Hornets
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maitland Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Hills Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maitland Mustangs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hills Hornets than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hills Hornets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:78

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Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Maitland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Maitland has had a series of away games.

In this match, Maitland is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 432:441. (average 86.4:88.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Maitland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 261:269. (average 87:89.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maitland Mustangs
Australian NBL1 East
16.05.26	Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs	81:73 ✺
09.05.26	Albury Wodonga Bandits - Maitland Mustangs	79:103 ✺
02.05.26	Bankstown Bruins - Maitland Mustangs	78:105 ✺
25.04.26	Hornsby Spiders - Maitland Mustangs	75:88 ✺
18.04.26	Maitland Mustangs - Canberra Gunners	73:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- Hills Hornets
Australian NBL1 East
09.05.26	Hills Hornets - Canberra Gunners	77:103 ✺
09.05.26	Sydney Comets - Hills Hornets	79:74 OT ✺
02.05.26	Hills Hornets - Norths Bears	62:92 ✺
25.04.26	Hills Hornets - Central Coast Crusaders	80:68 ✺
18.04.26	Albury Wodonga Bandits - Hills Hornets	90:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East
12.04.25	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	88:84
11.05.24	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	86:101
29.04.23	Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs	82:76
16.07.22	Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs	90:95
09.04.22	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	87:84 OT (75:75)

Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide