Match Info
NBL1 EastDate: 18 July 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Nbl+ |
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Maitland Mustangs |
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Newcastle Falcons |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.33 |
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3.10 |
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 |
1.37 |
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2.80 |
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 |
1.23 |
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3.65 |
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1.27 |
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3.31 |
Watch |
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1.21 |
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3.60 |
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 |
1.34 |
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2.99 |
Watch |
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1.29 |
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3.05 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.43) |
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3.21 ↑
(2.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 165.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maitland Mustangs
71.3% | Newcastle Falcons
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maitland Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maitland Mustangs's performance.Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Falcons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maitland Mustangs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Falcons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:79 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 2.Maitland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Newcastle is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Maitland is seen as the favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Maitland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 666:633. (average 83.3:79.1).Including home matches between the teams, Maitland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 379:328. (average 94.8:82).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL1 East | | | 16.05.26 | Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs | 81:73 | | 12.07.25 | Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons | 95:116 | | 03.05.25 | Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs | 84:61 | | 13.07.24 | Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs | 64:85 | | 06.04.24 | Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons | 109:72 | | 15.07.23 | Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs | 76:68 | | 15.04.23 | Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons | 82:69 |
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