Match Info

Basket League - Round 10

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Dimotiko Gimnastirio Amarousiou (Marousi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Maroussi Athens		PAOK

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.5
	2.38	1.58
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.46	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.95)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maroussi Athens
39.7%

PAOK
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maroussi Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maroussi Athens's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maroussi Athens than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maroussi Athens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Maroussi Athens - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Maroussi will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). PAOK will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Maroussi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Maroussi (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Maroussi (votes: 2 - 50%). PAOK (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. King J.	33. Dimsa T.
32. Perrantes L.	2. Melvin C.
2. Reynolds C.	26. Moore B.
7. Salas M.	18. Persidis N.
22. Williams J.	5. Tyree B.
Substitutes
10. Chatzidakis M.	0. Allen T.
31. Giannopoulos C. (C)	20. Iatridis K.
16. Kalaitzakis G.	17. Jones M.
3. Karakostas G.	6. Koniaris A.
4. Macon D.	15. Manis E.
5. Nikolaidis A.	10. Slaftsakis D.
9. Touliatos N.	13. Zaras T. (C)
Coaches
. Papatheodorou I.	. Zdovc J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Maroussi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

PAOK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, PAOK has had a series of home games.

PAOK might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroussi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 386:410. (average 77.2:82).

Including home matches between the teams, Maroussi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 155:161. (average 77.5:80.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maroussi Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
06.12.25	Peristeri BC - Maroussi Athens	80:78 ✺
23.11.25	Maroussi Athens - Iraklis	87:92 ✺
15.11.25	Maroussi Athens - AEK Athens	82:103 ✺
08.11.25	Panionios - Maroussi Athens	80:92 ✺
02.11.25	Mykonos - Maroussi Athens	77:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	PAOK - Prievidza	101:70 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
06.12.25	PAOK - Kolossos Rodou	82:70 ✺
23.11.25	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	81:92 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	PAOK - Lowen Braunschweig	88:87 ✺
12.11.25	PAOK - Anwil Włocławek	104:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
25.01.25	PAOK - Maroussi Athens	93:84
02.11.24	Maroussi Athens - PAOK	80:81
27.04.24	PAOK - Maroussi Athens	77:62
06.01.24	PAOK - Maroussi Athens	79:85
14.10.23	Maroussi Athens - PAOK	75:80

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