Match Info

NKL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas-Akvaservis		Telšiai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.42
	1.42	2.68
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.45	2.55
	1.41	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)	2.55 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
64.2%

Telšiai
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neptūnas-Akvaservis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telšiai than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Telšiai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Neptūnas Akvaservis - Telšiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Jonkus E. (C)	1. Kaminskis O. (C)
77. Lesciauskas K.	90. Kaveckis L.
16. Macijauskas M.	11. Meistas V.
13. Maciulis R.	22. Rasys D.
24. Metrikis K.	3. Razutis I.
Substitutes
28. Remeikis D.	44. Balciunas T.
11. Rinkevicius T.	6. Pocius V.
12. Sakaitis R.	4. Rimkus A.
7. Sarakauskas S.	31. Small J.
39. Virkutis J.
31. Zilius E.
10. Zymantas A.
Coaches
. Gaidamavicius T.	. Buskevics S.

Preview

Telsiai leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Neptūnas-Akvaservis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Neptūnas-Akvaservis has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neptūnas-Akvaservis is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 565:580. (average 70.6:72.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 203:217. (average 67.7:72.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Telsiai	3	3	0	264:219	3
11	Neptunas 2	3	1	2	247:240	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
20.03.26	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	67:61 ✺
14.03.26	Šilutė - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	84:85 ✺
07.03.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Plunges Olimpas	100:106 ✺
05.03.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	69:63 ✺
28.02.26	Olimpas Palanga - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	73:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- KK Telšiai
Lietuvos NKL
20.03.26	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	67:61 ✺
14.03.26	Telšiai - Sūduva	68:84 ✺
12.03.26	Rytas 2 - Telšiai	88:65 ✺
07.03.26	Telšiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	72:77 ✺
05.03.26	Mažeikiai - Telšiai	74:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
20.03.26	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	67:61
10.01.26	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	65:87
27.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	62:81
12.12.24	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	88:68
17.10.24	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	64:73
23.02.18	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	68:79
29.12.17	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	75:67

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