Match Info

NKL

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)


	Mažeikiai		Plunges Olimpas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.2	3.95
	1.25	3.44
	1.27	3.31	Watch
	1.25	3.21
	1.28	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.4)	3.46 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mažeikiai
73.5%

Plunges Olimpas
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mažeikiai's performance.

Plunges Olimpas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plunges Olimpas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mažeikiai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plunges Olimpas than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plunges Olimpas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mažeikiai - Plunges Olimpas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Marquett Epps D.	11. Budrys T.
1. Mokseckas G. (C)	4. Golson Jr C.
12. Motuzas M.	8. Jurkaitis M. (C)
14. Narusevicius E.	22. Thomas M.
3. Neal N.	18. Vaistaras A.
Substitutes
2. Juodis G.	10. Adomauskas A.
13. Karasov P.	27. Brackus J.
15. Mickus A.	23. Kreismontas R.
8. Rubinas D.	2. Maziliauskas M.
7. Stropus J.	13. Motuzis M.
0. Urbaitis D.	21. Piekus P.
4. Young C. K.	12. Tsamas C.
Coaches
. Kiltinavicius M.	. Tamusauskas M.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mažeikiai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mažeikiai is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
25.11.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	72:93 ✺
20.11.25	Kėdainiai - Mažeikiai	93:80 ✺
13.11.25	Mažeikiai - Sūduva	90:91 ✺
08.11.25	Alytaus Alytus - Mažeikiai	70:80 ✺
06.11.25	Mažeikiai - Rytas 2	87:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW
- Plunges Olimpas
Lietuvos NKL
22.11.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Plunges Olimpas	66:90 ✺
20.11.25	Plunges Olimpas - Vytis Šakiai	80:86 ✺
13.11.25	Plunges Olimpas - Šilutė	90:88 ✺
06.11.25	Kretinga - Plunges Olimpas	78:64 ✺
04.11.25	Sūduva - Plunges Olimpas	90:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLL

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