Match Info

LITHUANIA: LKL

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)


	Mažeikiai		Šiauliai

	1	2
	3	1.33
			Watch
	3.37	1.26
			Watch
	3.4	1.3
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.39)	1.3 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mažeikiai
28.5%

Šiauliai
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mažeikiai's form might have worsened.

Šiauliai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Šiauliai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mažeikiai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šiauliai than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Šiauliai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mažeikiai - Šiauliai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:95

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Collins C.	3. Blakes G.
15. Fenner D. J.	2. Buchanan S.
8. Sabeckis D. (C)	7. Kulvietis S. (C)
41. Sukhmail M.	49. Kupsas M.
27. Zdanavicius T.	10. Uleckas L.
Substitutes
17. Bartasius Z.	22. Jogela T.
13. Jogminas J.	1. Norutis R.
21. Kasemets K.	25. Romancenko D.
7. Mineikis N.	4. Stankevicius E.
3. Pocevicius T.	99. Valinskas M.
10. Urkis A.
0. Valunta S.
Coaches
. Kiltinavicius M.	. Urbonas Z.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mažeikiai won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Šiauliai will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mažeikiai won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 941:993 (average 85.5:90.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Mažeikiai won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 392:423 (average 78.4:84.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
10.02.25	Juventus Utena - Mažeikiai	92:72 ✺
01.02.25	Neptūnas - Mažeikiai	99:63 ✺
26.01.25	Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Kaunas	82:88 ✺
11.01.25	Šiauliai - Mažeikiai	103:107 OT ✺
05.01.25	Mažeikiai - Jonava	72:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWL
- BC Šiauliai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
09.02.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Šiauliai	111:81 ✺
01.02.25	Šiauliai - Rytas	79:89 ✺
25.01.25	Neptūnas - Šiauliai	80:90 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
20.01.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Šiauliai	92:84 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.01.25	Šiauliai - Mažeikiai	103:107 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
11.01.25	Šiauliai - Mažeikiai	103:107 OT
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
13.11.24	Šiauliai - Mažeikiai	99:100
22.10.24	Mažeikiai - Šiauliai	85:91
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
29.09.24	Mažeikiai - Šiauliai	93:95 OT
17.03.24	Šiauliai - Mažeikiai	91:94
30.12.23	Mažeikiai - Šiauliai	73:78
29.10.23	Šiauliai - Mažeikiai	81:90

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